Denton TX Housing Market Update – March 2025
Denton’s real estate market is evolving—and fast. Inventory is building, pricing is adjusting, and buyer behavior is shifting as the spring season unfolds. The headlines may still show rising prices, but underneath that, sellers are starting to adjust expectations while buyers are moving faster—when the deal is right.
Here’s a full breakdown of what March 2025 numbers tell us about where the Denton market is today—and where it’s headed.
Market Supply: Inventory Is Almost Double Last Year
Months of Inventory: 4.69
Month-over-Month Change: +4.0%
12-Month Change: +86.9%
Denton's housing inventory has increased sharply—up nearly 87% year-over-year and another 4% from February. This places Denton at the upper edge of a balanced market, and very close to becoming buyer-leaning.
With more listings coming to market, sellers no longer have the luxury of naming their price. That doesn’t mean values are falling—but it does mean competition is growing. Listings that are priced well and professionally presented still attract attention. Overpriced or outdated homes? Not so much.
Sales Pace: Homes Are Selling Faster
Median Days on Market: 44
Month-over-Month Change: -15.38%
Even as inventory climbs, homes are selling faster. The median days on market fell by over 15% from February, suggesting increased urgency among buyers, likely driven by stabilizing rates and early spring demand.
This is a strong sign that move-in ready, correctly priced homes are drawing serious attention. Buyers are ready—but selective. If you're selling, the first impression has never mattered more.
Pricing Trends: Sales Rise, Appraisals Fall
Median Sold Price: $385,000
Month-over-Month Change: +8.45%
While sale prices are up sharply—an 8.45% jump over February—appraised values are moving in the opposite direction. The median estimated property value dropped to $369,950, a -1.1% decline MoM and -1.4% YoY.
This widening gap introduces a risk of appraisal shortfalls in financed deals. Sellers need to be prepared with comps and documentation, and buyers should work appraisal contingencies and negotiation strategy into their offer.
Price Per Square Foot: Downward Shift Begins
Active Listings: $198/sqft (-2.0% MoM)
Pending Listings: $199/sqft (flat MoM)
Sold Listings: $193/sqft (-2.0% MoM)
This decline in both list and sold price per square foot suggests softening pricing pressure. While buyers are still transacting, they’re becoming more price-conscious. Sellers are adjusting accordingly—backing off previous highs, but not slashing prices.
Expect this $/sqft adjustment to continue in areas with longer days on market or where inventory is piling up.
Strategic Insights
For Sellers
Despite rising sold prices, the data shows a shifting market. Inventory is up, $/sqft is softening, and appraisals are tightening. Success now depends on price accuracy, home prep, and smart marketing. Done right, you can still sell quickly and near top dollar.
For Buyers
With more inventory and lower $/sqft, this is your chance to buy with negotiation power. Sellers are adjusting, homes are moving faster, and appraisal values give you room to negotiate. Prioritize homes that have been on the market for 21+ days—these are where you’ll find value.
For Investors
There’s a developing window to pick up homes under appraised value. With median sale prices rising and valuation estimates slipping, cosmetic rehab opportunities are back. Focus on properties that are outdated, but structurally sound, in strong school zones or near key Denton amenities.
Final Thoughts
Denton is no longer a seller-dominated market. It’s not a buyer’s market yet—but it’s moving in that direction. This is the kind of environment where strategy wins. Whether you’re buying, selling, or investing, you need to be proactive, informed, and ready to move with precision.
Let’s build your plan based on what’s actually happening—not on assumptions from last year’s market.
Gustavo Ramos
Realtor – Keller Williams Dallas Metro North
📞 (817) 876-3390
📧 gustavoramos@kw.com
🌐 gustavoramos.kw.com
