Flower Mound TX Housing Market Update – March 2025
Flower Mound is proving itself one of the more resilient and high-demand pockets in the DFW area. Prices are rising, homes are moving faster, and inventory remains tight—even after a notable increase in new listings. Buyers are showing urgency, and sellers still hold the upper hand—but that advantage is starting to narrow.
Here’s a breakdown of the March numbers and what they mean for anyone making moves in Flower Mound.
Market Supply: Inventory Climbs, But Still Seller-Leaning
Months of Inventory: 2.99
Month-over-Month Change: +21.54%
12-Month Change: +28.94%
Inventory rose over 21% month-over-month and is up nearly 29% year-over-year. While that’s a sharp increase, the total months of inventory remains low at just 2.99—meaning it’s still firmly a seller’s market.
That said, the direction of the trend matters. More homes hitting the market could start to erode seller leverage over the coming months, especially if interest rates or affordability concerns slow demand. For now, though, well-prepared listings still have a clear edge.
Sales Pace: Buyer Activity Accelerates
Median Days on Market: 33
Month-over-Month Change: -35.29%
Homes in Flower Mound are moving quickly—faster than they were last month. A 35.29% drop in median days on market shows that buyers are stepping up and acting decisively when they see value.
This type of sales velocity reflects a confident market. Sellers can still expect strong activity if they’re priced appropriately. For buyers, it’s a reminder that hesitation can cost you—particularly in the $600K–$800K price range, where demand is concentrated.
Pricing Trends: Values Climb While Appraisals Flatten
Median Sold Price: $655,000
Month-over-Month Change: +9.17%
Median Estimated Property Value: $608,000
Month-over-Month Change: -0.8%
12-Month Change: -0.1%
Sale prices surged in March, with the median sold price jumping over 9% month-over-month. However, the median estimated value declined slightly. This growing gap between what homes are selling for and what they’re appraising at could lead to friction during financing.
Sellers should be prepared with strong comps and property condition documentation. Buyers may want to build flexibility into contracts in case of appraisal shortfalls—especially if bidding above asking.
Price Per Square Foot: Strong But Sustainable Growth
Active Listings: $248/sqft (+1.6% MoM)
Pending Listings: $237/sqft (+0.8% MoM)
Sold Listings: $231/sqft (+2.5% MoM)
Prices are moving up across all listing stages. Sellers are listing higher, and buyers are matching that momentum in accepted offers and closings. The steady rise in sold $/sqft reflects real demand, not just inflated expectations.
Still, the relatively narrow gap between list and sold $/sqft suggests the market is stable—not overheated. The $17 spread between actives and closed deals leaves room for negotiation, but not much. Buyers need to move decisively on updated, fairly priced homes.
Strategic Insights
For Sellers
You still have leverage—but that leverage is softening. Inventory is building, and if you’re not priced or presented right, buyers will pass. However, homes that show well and are competitively priced are still getting premium offers. The time to list is now, before inventory climbs higher into summer.
For Buyers
Speed matters. Flower Mound homes are selling 35% faster than last month, and sale prices are climbing. If you're serious about buying here, be pre-approved, know your top comps, and be ready to compete. The $/sqft spread shows there's still room to negotiate—but not much.
For Investors
This is not a distressed market—but if you're targeting high-end flips or mid-term rentals in a desirable school district, Flower Mound still delivers value. Look for listings that are sitting above $750K for 30+ days—these may present margin and negotiating power.
Final Thoughts
Flower Mound remains one of the hottest and most stable micro-markets in North Texas. But the numbers are clear—more listings are coming, and while demand remains strong, the pace of appreciation may begin to cool. This market rewards timing, prep, and realism—not guesswork.
Let’s put together the right strategy to match your goals, whether you’re entering or exiting the Flower Mound market.
Gustavo Ramos
Realtor – Keller Williams Dallas Metro North
📞 (817) 876-3390
📧 gustavoramos@kw.com
🌐 gustavoramos.kw.com
